{
  "schema": "successor-discoverability.commercial-preregistration.v1",
  "recordId": "discoverability-commercial-2026-10-22-v1",
  "registeredAt": "2026-10-22T22:46:47Z",
  "registrationStage": "Before any commercial validation or authorized customer engagement for this candidate; software development and synthetic tests already underway.",
  "candidate": {
    "repository": "MontrealAI/AGI-Alpha-Agent-v0",
    "pullRequest": 4872,
    "observedSource": "fbae88cb82b97d309eefea5c6937a3229cb0db18",
    "title": "SUCCESSOR Omega Discoverability Compiler",
    "baseline": "61532fb82621a065e668fd11e57289dcfb65c67b"
  },
  "hypothesis": {
    "currency": "USD",
    "attributableProductionCostMaximum": "100.00",
    "incrementalRealizableNetValueStrictlyGreaterThan": "10000.00",
    "status": "UNPROVEN",
    "technicalSuccessIsCommercialSuccess": false,
    "softwareDeploymentRequiresCommercialProof": false
  },
  "outputBundle": {
    "quantity": 1,
    "unit": "one versioned nonexclusive software-and-evidence delivery bundle",
    "outputs": [
      {
        "id": "diagnostic-probe-program",
        "description": "Compiler-generated bounded integer probe program, decision decoder and rejection evidence for synthetic digital-module diagnosis; exact inputs and source committed.",
        "physicalInstrumentBuilt": false
      },
      {
        "id": "synthetic-assay-program",
        "description": "Compiler-generated bounded assay program and decision evidence for a declared synthetic two-component optical forward model; no physical assay validation.",
        "physicalInstrumentBuilt": false
      },
      {
        "id": "reusable-compiler",
        "description": "Apache-2.0 compiler source with tests, full admitted grammar, nuisance/noise assumptions, explicit exhausted/ambiguous statuses and cost certificate; suitable only for its bounded model class.",
        "exclusiveRightsOffered": false
      }
    ],
    "heldOutSuccessor": {
      "requirement": "Different inverse-domain decision requirement revealed only after compiler freeze",
      "commercialResultClaimed": false,
      "content": "Not specified here to preserve independent reveal; final source/run manifest must identify it."
    }
  },
  "beneficiary": {
    "status": "HYPOTHETICAL_UNIDENTIFIED",
    "description": "An independent engineering or research organization with a real bounded diagnostic or assay decision and lawful input/measurement access.",
    "customerIdentified": false,
    "independenceVerified": false,
    "customerOutreachAuthorized": false,
    "customerOutreachPerformed": false,
    "purchaseCommitment": null
  },
  "rights": {
    "newOriginalCode": "Intended Apache-2.0 for the candidate's original source, subject to the repository's actual LICENSE and notices.",
    "upstream": "Retain all applicable upstream Apache-2.0/MIT notices and actual source identity; no relabeling of inherited code.",
    "syntheticInputs": "Generated finite model inputs; no ownership or commercialization claim over third-party datasets, instruments or customer information.",
    "programOutputs": "Nonexclusive export of the actual generated program and evidence under applicable source terms; no warranty of real-world scope.",
    "notConferred": [
      "Exclusive rights over a scientific method",
      "Rights to third-party data",
      "Patent clearance",
      "ERC-721 ownership as automatic IP assignment",
      "Right to perform physical tests without permission"
    ],
    "rightsReviewForRealCustomer": "REQUIRED_BEFORE_EXTERNAL_DELIVERY"
  },
  "counterfactual": {
    "qualityTarget": "Same required decision, world/nuisance/noise class, rejection rules and input rights.",
    "technicalComparators": [
      "Competent conventional optimal design with the same permitted construction grammar",
      "Centralized fresh synthesis with the same acceptance test",
      "Non-inheriting reconstruction with source/template construction costs included"
    ],
    "economicCounterfactual": "Actual cost or executable arm's-length offer for delivering the same accepted output without this reusable capability; not a weak deliberately constrained algorithm.",
    "evidenceAvailable": false,
    "prohibitedProxies": [
      "Total addressable market",
      "Arbitrary replacement price",
      "Hypothetical token appreciation",
      "Internal transfer or self-dealing",
      "Grant presented as customer demand"
    ]
  },
  "measurementWindow": {
    "valuationDate": "2026-10-22",
    "timezone": "America/Toronto",
    "start": "2026-10-22",
    "endExclusive": "2026-11-22",
    "extensionRule": "An explicit amendment with its new date and reason; do not silently extend the original window.",
    "bidObservationTimestamp": null,
    "currencyConversion": {
      "required": false,
      "reason": "No non-USD realized proceeds observed",
      "rate": null,
      "source": null,
      "observedAt": null
    }
  },
  "commercialEvidence": {
    "executableBid": {
      "status": "NONE",
      "counterparty": null,
      "independenceEvidence": null,
      "conditions": null,
      "expiresAt": null,
      "quantity": null,
      "capacity": null,
      "grossUsd": null,
      "unavoidableCostsUsd": null,
      "netUsd": null
    },
    "purchaseCommitment": null,
    "realizationMechanism": null,
    "receipts": []
  },
  "valueCategories": {
    "modeled": {
      "status": "HYPOTHESIS_ONLY",
      "valueUsd": null,
      "description": "No observed acquisition saving has been converted into USD; acquisition units are declared task weights, not money.",
      "assumptionsMustBeDisplayed": true
    },
    "independentlySupportableRealizable": {
      "status": "NOT_ESTABLISHED",
      "valueUsd": null,
      "reason": "No arm's-length executable bid, commitment or equivalent realization mechanism has been documented."
    },
    "settledCashReceived": {
      "status": "ZERO_OBSERVED_IN_THIS_RESEARCH_RECORD",
      "observedUsd": "0.00",
      "receiptCount": 0,
      "scope": "No customer cash receipt supplied or created for this candidate; this is not an audit of unrelated bank or wallet activity."
    }
  },
  "actualCostLedger": {
    "currency": "USD",
    "complete": false,
    "totalMarginalUsd": null,
    "totalFullyLoadedUsd": null,
    "items": [
      {
        "category": "inference",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "billable tokens/calls",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN_ATTRIBUTION"
      },
      {
        "category": "compute",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "attributable host CPU/GPU seconds",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN"
      },
      {
        "category": "tools",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "billable tool use",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN_ATTRIBUTION"
      },
      {
        "category": "infrastructure",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "attributable hosting/storage/network",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN_SUBSIDY"
      },
      {
        "category": "gas",
        "quantity": 0,
        "unit": "new on-chain transactions by this candidate",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": "0.00",
        "status": "NO_TRANSACTIONS_PERFORMED; local EVM not yet run"
      },
      {
        "category": "validation",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "review minutes",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN"
      },
      {
        "category": "human_labor",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "human minutes across setup/planning/coding/approval/troubleshooting/acceptance",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN_NOT_ZERO"
      },
      {
        "category": "failed_attempts_and_retries",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "attributable failed attempts",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN; include only costs not already in other categories"
      },
      {
        "category": "customer_acquisition",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "attributable acquisition activity",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "NO_OUTREACH; inherited/setup allocation unknown"
      },
      {
        "category": "delivery",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "attributable accepted delivery",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN"
      },
      {
        "category": "support",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "support liability within realization window",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN"
      },
      {
        "category": "setup_and_research",
        "quantity": null,
        "unit": "attributable engineering/research hours",
        "unitRateUsd": null,
        "amountUsd": null,
        "status": "UNKNOWN; report fully loaded allocation"
      }
    ],
    "inheritedSubsidies": [
      "Existing repository code and research",
      "Existing test and release infrastructure",
      "ChatGPT/runtime/tool access with unallocated acquisition cost",
      "Previously generated source and evidence"
    ],
    "freeTierTreatment": "Free at point of use is not zero economic cost. Record subsidy explicitly and show replacement/allocation sensitivity.",
    "amortization": "No actual amortization denominator is asserted; a selected assumption must be reported alongside full one-off cost."
  },
  "modeledSensitivity": {
    "scope": "Hypothetical unit-rate sensitivity only; rates below are arbitrary analysis inputs, not verified provider quotes, wages, invoices or valuation evidence.",
    "quantities": {
      "hostSeconds": null,
      "inferenceMillionTokens": null,
      "humanMinutes": null,
      "validationMinutes": null,
      "setupResearchHours": null,
      "additionalCostUsd": null,
      "deliveredBundles": null
    },
    "rateInputs": {
      "hostUsdPerHour": [
        "0.25",
        "1.00",
        "4.00"
      ],
      "inferenceUsdPerMillionTokens": [
        "1.00",
        "5.00",
        "20.00"
      ],
      "humanUsdPerHour": [
        "25.00",
        "75.00",
        "150.00"
      ],
      "validationUsdPerHour": [
        "25.00",
        "75.00",
        "150.00"
      ],
      "researchUsdPerHour": [
        "25.00",
        "75.00",
        "150.00"
      ],
      "researchAllocationBundles": [
        1,
        10,
        100,
        1000
      ]
    },
    "formulaMarginal": "hostSeconds / 3600 * hostUsdPerHour + inferenceMillionTokens * inferenceUsdPerMillionTokens + humanMinutes / 60 * humanUsdPerHour + validationMinutes / 60 * validationUsdPerHour + additionalCostUsd",
    "formulaFullyLoaded": "marginalUsd + setupResearchHours * researchUsdPerHour / researchAllocationBundles",
    "additionalCostDefinition": "Tools, infrastructure, acquisition, delivery, support, gas and failure/retry costs only when not already included in time/token totals.",
    "formulaNetIncremental": "Documented realization proceeds minus unavoidable realization costs minus matched counterfactual proceeds; never sum estimated capability value and its generated revenues as independent gains.",
    "result": null,
    "nullRule": "A null required quantity/rate prevents an observed total or target pass. Sensitivity scenarios never fill the actual ledger silently.",
    "sensitivityPurpose": "Expose how quickly labor and research allocation can dominate cheap synthetic acquisition.",
    "illustrativeHumanOnlyBudgetThresholds": [
      {
        "rateUsdPerHour": "25.00",
        "maximumMinutesBeforeOtherCosts": "240",
        "status": "MODELED_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "rateUsdPerHour": "75.00",
        "maximumMinutesBeforeOtherCosts": "80",
        "status": "MODELED_ONLY"
      },
      {
        "rateUsdPerHour": "150.00",
        "maximumMinutesBeforeOtherCosts": "40",
        "status": "MODELED_ONLY"
      }
    ],
    "illustrativeResearchAllocation": {
      "hypotheticalResearchHours": "16",
      "hypotheticalResearchRateUsdPerHour": "75.00",
      "hypotheticalOneOffResearchUsd": "1200.00",
      "perBundle": [
        {
          "allocationBundles": 1,
          "usd": "1200.00"
        },
        {
          "allocationBundles": 10,
          "usd": "120.00"
        },
        {
          "allocationBundles": 100,
          "usd": "12.00"
        },
        {
          "allocationBundles": 1000,
          "usd": "1.20"
        }
      ],
      "status": "MODELED_ONLY_NOT_OBSERVED",
      "warning": "Higher assumed allocation counts are not customer demand, executable purchases or achieved capacity."
    }
  },
  "doubleCountingPolicy": {
    "oneBidCountedOnce": true,
    "uniqueCommitmentIdRequired": true,
    "quantityCappedByBuyerCommitmentAndCapacity": true,
    "capabilityValuePlusDownstreamRevenueCountedTogether": false,
    "internalTransferCountsAsExternalValue": false,
    "reusableProgramLicensesDoNotImplyUnlimitedDemand": true
  },
  "decisionRule": {
    "passOnlyIf": [
      "All required attributable costs known and assigned to the same bundle/window",
      "Total attributable production cost <= 100 USD under declared accounting boundary; fully loaded result shown separately",
      "Independent realizable incremental net value > 10000 USD with executable evidence, current conditions/expiry/quantity/capacity",
      "Rights and independent counterparty documented",
      "No double counting, self-dealing, token gains or internal transfers"
    ],
    "currentVerdict": "UNPROVEN",
    "unmetTargetVisible": true
  },
  "allowedNextAction": "Ship and test the bounded experimental software and preserve this unproven commercial status. Obtain separate authorization before customer outreach, bids, commitments, paid infrastructure or financial signing."
}